Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000552 0.000615 0.000683 0.000763 0.000855 0.000956 0.001077
2025-12-07 0.000455 0.000543 0.000647 0.000779 0.000945 0.001147 0.001415
2025-12-14 0.000392 0.000491 0.000615 0.000784 0.001010 0.001308 0.001736
2025-12-21 0.000354 0.000461 0.000602 0.000804 0.001091 0.001494 0.002117
2025-12-28 0.000313 0.000421 0.000567 0.000787 0.001115 0.001599 0.002396
2026-01-04 0.000285 0.000394 0.000547 0.000785 0.001156 0.001732 0.002737
2026-01-11 0.000263 0.000372 0.000531 0.000786 0.001200 0.001874 0.003114
2026-01-18 0.000245 0.000355 0.000519 0.000791 0.001249 0.002028 0.003538
2026-01-25 0.000228 0.000337 0.000503 0.000788 0.001284 0.002162 0.003952
2026-02-01 0.000216 0.000325 0.000496 0.000797 0.001340 0.002340 0.004485
2026-02-08 0.000202 0.000309 0.000481 0.000791 0.001367 0.002467 0.004938
2026-02-15 0.000191 0.000297 0.000470 0.000789 0.001402 0.002614 0.005463
2026-02-22 0.000181 0.000286 0.000461 0.000794 0.001451 0.002803 0.006145
2026-03-01 0.000173 0.000278 0.000458 0.000808 0.001522 0.003051 0.007042
2026-03-08 0.000164 0.000269 0.000450 0.000812 0.001573 0.003265 0.007914
2026-03-15 0.000159 0.000264 0.000451 0.000833 0.001663 0.003586 0.009172
2026-03-22 0.000149 0.000251 0.000434 0.000815 0.001665 0.003696 0.009859
2026-03-29 0.000142 0.000241 0.000424 0.000813 0.001702 0.003900 0.010897
2026-04-05 0.000136 0.000234 0.000417 0.000814 0.001747 0.004134 0.012112
2026-04-12 0.000130 0.000228 0.000412 0.000819 0.001801 0.004402 0.013544
2026-04-19 0.000125 0.000220 0.000403 0.000816 0.001836 0.004626 0.014906
2026-04-26 0.000121 0.000215 0.000401 0.000826 0.001904 0.004959 0.016824
2026-05-03 0.000115 0.000208 0.000391 0.000819 0.001929 0.005169 0.018340